The suburbs bucking the trend of falling house prices

While Australian home owners may be feeling a tad nervous after hearing house prices have fallen for the first time in 20 months, buyers will be sitting up and taking notes.

According to two leading monthly indices — CoreLogic and REA’s PropTrack — the national monthly fall is at about 0.1 percent.

Sydney, Melbourne and Canberra lead the falls, while Adelaide, Brisbane and some regional areas are continuing to post steep price growth.

There are always two sides to the coin

Just like home owners may see the latest house price news as a negative, buyers may feel some long-forgotten optimism about getting back into the market.

Similarly, median prices do not tell the full story. Median values ​​do not necessarily mean all houses in a particularly favorable growth will increase in price.

These statistics provide a snapshot of the properties that were sold in that time period.

Ultimately, your home’s value will be determined by how much a buyer would pay for it.

Ready to buy? Here are the areas experiencing price growth in your capital city

According to CoreLogic, the top three suburbs in each capital city are mostly clustered in the same areas.

In Greater Melbourne, the Mornington Peninsula is by far the best area for price growth.

The Logan-Beaudesert region in Greater Brisbane has also bucked the national trend, while prices in Perth’s North West continue to climb.

For would-be home owners and investors, let’s drill down into your capital’s top three burgeoning suburbs.

Greater Sydney


Median Value

Annual Change



30.4 percent

box hill


29 percent

mount victoria


28.4 percent

A picture of a van driving on a street lined with big green leafy trees.
Box Hill is known for its leafy-green streets and low-rise landscape.(ABC News: Sam Yang)

Despite the country’s most populous city leading the trend for house price declines, there are still pockets where growth is happening.

The Baulkham Hills and hawkesbury region is home to the two best suburbs as far as growth goes.

About 43 kilometers north-west of the Sydney central business district, maraylya and box hill are virtually next-door neighbors and share similar statistics and demographics.

Maraylya was the best performer with a median house value of $1,605,065which is an annual change of 30.4 percent.

The median weekly household income, according to the 2016 census, was $2,133 per week.

Rentals made up 15.2 percent of the occupied private dwellings.

mount victoria rounds out the top three.

Located in the Blue Mountains in the outer west, you’ll clock about 120 kilometers by road to reach the CBD.

The median weekly income was $1,065 back in 2016 and 22.7 per cent of the suburb’s residents rented.

Greater Melbourne


Median Value

Annual Change



22 percent

St Andrew’s Beach


21.6 percent



20.8 percent

An historic mansion and four acres at Sorrento are being offered for sale.
Sorrento, home to the mansions on millionaire’s walk, saw growth of 20.8 percent.(Supplied: CBRE)

The Mornington Peninsula boasts the top 10 suburbs for price growth in greater Melbourne.

Median house values ​​vary wildly in the top 3 but all have one thing in common — values ​​are holding strong and rising.

Tootgarook was the best performer.

Located 80 kilometers from the Melbourne CBD, Tootgarook has a median weekly household income of $1,023 and rentals make up 27 percent of the market.

further up the road is sorrentohome to the mansions on millionaire’s walk.

The median value of houses is markedly higher here but interestingly, the median household income is not much more at $1,136.

A whopping 64.5 per cent of occupied private dwellings are owned outright (without a mortgage) while 13.6 per cent are rentals.

On the opposite side of the peninsula is the coastal village of St Andrew’s Beachwhere the median weekly household income is $1,652 while the median weekly rent is lower than the nation’s ($335) at $294.

Greater Brisbane


Median Value

Annual Change

Cedar Grove


45 percent

Logan Central


42.1 percent

Cedar Valley


41.6 percent

Signage of Logan City Council at main administration building with garden in view on Wembley Road at Logan City.
House prices in the Logan-Beaudesert region of Greater Brisbane are strong.(ABC News: Alex Papps)

If you are a home owner in the Logan-Beaudesert region, the figures look impressive. Classified as a mixed-use locality in the city of Logan, Cedar Grove is about 25 kilometers from Brisbane’s CBD.

According to the 2016 census, the median weekly household income was $1,793 and 61.6 per cent of people in Cedar Grove have a mortgage.

Logan Centralas the name would suggest, is the CBD and administrative center of the City of Logan.

The median weekly household income in 2016 was $856 and 57 percent of private dwellings were rentals.

The rural locality of Cedar Valley showed a median household income of $1,863 with just 8.2 per cent rent.

Greater Adelaide


Median Value

Annual Change



43.8 percent

O’Sullivan Beach


38.7 percent

Modbury North


38.7 percent

A view of Adelaide's CBD from the north-eastern suburbs.
A view of Adelaide’s CBD from the north-eastern suburbs, where price growth has been positive.(ABC News: Tony Hill)

The top three performers in Greater Adelaide are spread out over a wider distance.

Beaumont in the Adelaide-Central Hills region is just 8 kilometers from the CBD.

With a relatively high median weekly household income of $2,265, the proportion paying rent greater than or equal to 30 per cent of that income (according to the 2016 census) sits at just 3 per cent.

The seaside suburb of O’Sullivan Beach in the south has much lower house prices but also lower weekly incomes — the median sitting at $891 in 2016.

There’s a pretty even three-way split of those who own their homes outright, those who have a mortgage and those who rent.

in Modbury Northwhich sits 14 kilometers from the CBD, the median weekly household income sits around $1,400 and close to 45 percent have a mortgage.

Greater Hobart


Median Value

Annual Change

Primrose Sands


28.1 percent



26.4 percent

Acton Park


25.7 percent

An unfinished home on the waterfront.
Primrose Sands in Hobart is a suburb to watch.(ABC News: Luke Bowden)

In 2016, the median weekly household income for the mixed urban and rural locality of Primrose Sands was $744.

Rentals made up 23.6 per cent of occupied private dwellings with the median weekly rental costing $200.

at tranmere, the house prices double and median weekly household income rises accordingly to $1,966.

Nearly 39 per cent of houses are owned outright.

over in Acton Parkthe median household income sits at $2,195 with just 3.4 per cent of occupied private dwellings listed as rentals.

Greater Perth


Median Value

Annual Change

Watermans Bay


14.9 percent

Ocean Reef


14.5 percent



14.5 percent

Wendy Morris' park home in Carine in 2015
A house in Perth’s Carine, where price growth can be found.(Supplied: Wendy Morris)

The best-performing suburbs in Greater Perth experienced modest growth.

Perth’s north-west fared best, with Watermans Bay experiencing growth of 14.9 percent.

The northern coastal suburb has a median household income of $1,927 and renters make up 28.6 per cent of occupied private dwellings.

Further up the coast at Ocean Reefmedian house values ​​are less but weekly household income more generous at $2,245.

in nearby carine45 percent own their homes outright and there’s a median weekly household income of $2,242.

Greater Darwin


Median Value

Annual Change



16.2 percent



26.4 percent



15 percent

A for sale sign outside apartments in Darwin.
There’s still growth in the Darwin housing market.(ABC News)

In the Top End, the top-performing suburbs are right next door to each other, approximately 13 kilometers from the CBD.

The three suburbs have similar statistics and demographics.

nakara boasts the highest median value and median weekly household income of $2,261, while rentals make up 32.4 per cent of occupied private dwellings.



Median Value

Annual Change

Denman Prospect


32.9 percent



30.7 percent



29.8 percent

The typical Canberra ex-government house.
A house in the Canberra suburb of Waramanga, where house prices have gone up despite national median price falls.(ABC News: Jesse Dorsett)

The nation’s capital has a number of suburbs to watch as far as house price growth is concerned. Denman Prospect is a suburb currently under development and as such has no 2016 census data.

Waramangaon the other hand, was established in the late-1960s and has a 30.1 per cent rate of outright owned homes.

The median weekly household income is $1,875.

in Coombs74 percent of occupied private dwellings are owned with a mortgage and the median weekly household income is $2,315.

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